Media vs Public Disconnect

The same formula run over two disjoint document sets: news media on one side, public social discourse on the other. The gap between them is the signal — and because both sides are computed identically, the subtraction actually means something.

Media

59.7

Public

49.8

Gap

+9.9

Observed percentile

34%

Media series: collected news articles. Public series: collected social posts and discussions. Only timestamps with both samples are shown. These are different populations measured by the same formula, not a like-for-like sample of one population. Both axes are fixed to 0–100.

Current regime: aligned

Media and public sentiment are currently aligned. The gap carries little information in this regime.

Different source populations, not a representative public-opinion poll. Historical percentile uses only observed, time-aligned readings in the last 14 days.